Alan's Blog

December 9th, 2008 4:42 PM
Our benchmark FNMA 5.5% bond took a 28bp step higher today in response to a flagging stock market, closing at $101.84. There was little in the way of economic news. Pending Home Sales in Oct. fell -0.7% and dropped -1.0% on a year-over-year basis vs. a consensus of -3.0% for the month and -3.6% year-over-year. Another positive was stronger sales in California and Florida, two of the weakest states for real estate in the country. A $15 billion bridge loan bailout plan for the Big 3 automakers is being finalized. A congressional vote is expected tomorrow. A $30 billion Treasury auction in four-week bills today was very unusual to say the least. Exceptionally aggressive bidding with a Bid/Cover Ratio of 4.20 took the yield to 0.00% and actually below 0% to -0.05% after factoring in bookkeeping expenses. Investors placed bids for $126 billion at the auction for $30 billion in four-week bills ($126B/$30B = 4.20). Usually a Bid/Cover Ratio of 2.0 is a sign of a successful auction with aggressive bidding. In this particular case such a strong auction with 0.0% yield means investors are just parking cash and are looking to not lose money rather than taking any risk to earn even a tiny return. Tomorrow the Treasury will sell $28 billion in 3-year notes and on Thursday they will sell $16 billion in 10-year notes. The short end of the yield curve is being used as a safe-haven parking place for cash. In stock land, Broadcom, Danaher, FedEx, Texas Instruments, and Nucor all lowered their earnings guidance to lead the market lower and give the Bears a reason to cheer. The Dow fell 242 points to end at 8,691. The broader S&P 500 Index slid 21 points to close at 888 and the NASDAQ Composite Index lost 24 points to close at 1,547.

Posted by Alan McNamee on December 9th, 2008 4:42 PMPost a Comment (0)

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Pilgrim Mortgage, LLC is an equal housing lender. Interest Rates are subject to change. Interest rates are also subject to credit, income and property approval based on market guidelines. Other rates and terms are available. Contact us for details. Consult your accountant about tax deductions. These are my personal views and don't reflect those of  Pilgrim Mortgage, or it's affiliates. Pilgrim Mortgage, LLC

 


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